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14 septiembre 又是一条好汉 - 这个世界变得太快还是要在Lehman Brother 星期一出deal之前,占个位子,这将又是另一个Bear Stearns. 完全能够体会得到在LEH工作的朋友此时以及这个周末的心情,这个周五看LEH股价狂泻到3快多,AIG也down 30%, 花街狼狈的简直惨不忍睹,我居然忘记le前两天Fed刚刚接手两房,Financial industry的消化系统估计已经到了极限,还是只能等待辣税人和中国日本政府来买单?谁来收拾残局? 还是继续wonder who is gonna be the next。我现在逢人说房事还要再等等,股市就免入了。 这一年的腥风血雨,从微寒的三月到gloomy的夏天,好在我已经经历了一个Bear Stearns, 现在躲在一个没有prop trading 的house里面,SOX 的忙季已经快要使我忘记所经历的一切,但我知道我还是没有办法忘记,This is not just about the destination of any single institution. It's the business of any single one who concerns about the fate of an empire. 这年头,一定要体育锻炼,否则心脏功能要退化。 没有别的,只是希望LEH的哥们挺住,生活还要继续,十年后又是一条好汉. 临睡之前再看了一下新闻,好像BOA 和Barclay都walked away,Chapter 7 is the remaining option. Shareholder may be protected in this way. But employees. It's gonna be a tremendous hit to the job market again!! 更为爆炸的是,MER is married to BOA now, MER 抢走了Lehman的最后一线生机,不过也学对于MER来说,它害怕的是如果今天不找到买家,下个周末便是同样的难眠吧。太戏剧了,今天晚上大家都甭睡了。星期一提前开始了。 The below is an article from advance trading that I read today. Exactly what I am thinking now. http://www.advancedtrading.com/blog/archives/2008/09/lehmanmerrill_w.html Lehman-Merrill: What Was Your Reaction?By Kerry Massaro I think I’m still in shock over the weekend's events. I finally adjusted to a world without Bear Stearns, but I can’t really fathom that the capital markets also will be without Lehman Brothers and Merrill Lynch. Beyond experiencing disbelief, the industry was deeply saddened that the credit crisis has taken a toll on so many good firms and good people. Merrill Lynch has 60,000 employees and Lehman 25,000 -- what will become of them? We know there are certain people at these firms who are responsible for the lapse in risk management that led to their losses, but those are only a few people in a few departments. The overwhelming majority of workers at Lehman and Merrill had no part in the fall of these firms. Rather, they are hard-working people who have contributed a great deal to the electronification and transformation of the markets over the past few years. In fact, many of these people have been good friends to Advanced Trading and helped us during our launch for the selfless reason of helping the markets share information. I spent a lot of time on the phone yesterday talking to traders and analysts at various firms, trying to take their pulse on what has happened. I asked how trading desks were coping, what it was like trading yesterday, what they thought these events would mean to the financial markets as a whole, and how Wall Street would reshape itself. As one buy-side trader put it, “A lot of things are going through our minds. This is about a lot of professional friendships. This is a people business. Despite how electronic the world has become, there are still people behind the business. There is an air of sadness -- this is the death of businesses and the death of careers.” The general consensus was that an event like this brings the concept of vendor risk to the forefront. If a buy-side firm was a LehmanLive customer or used Real Tick as its front end, then the events of the past few days would leave its desk in disarray. As far as the algorithms and dark pools, most agreed that there is a tremendous amount of redundancy among these tools and the loss of some won’t have a major impact. The buy-side trader said, “Are we going to miss HYDRA? No, but we will miss the creative inspiration behind it.” He explained that having fewer algorithms and dark pools may actually make trading easier. “As far as liquidity goes, liquidity is transient. If you were buying or selling through Lehman, you’ll do it through someone else,“ he added. This is one buy-side trader’s opinion (one who requested anonymity). We’d like to hear what you think. What was your reaction? How did the news affect your trading desk? Was it chaos or just a minor disruption? Were you reliant on some of Lehman’s or Merrill’s technology or algorithms? What are your concerns going forward? Share whatever thoughts you would like to share on these events, whether in one line, one paragraph or one page. I will post them on Advanced Trading.com -- with your name and photo, or anonymously. E-mail me a kmassaro@techweb.com. Put "Market Reaction" in the subject line. Here are some of the reactions we've gathered so far: |
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